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EPOCH TERMINAL

From market context to a study you can act on.

Explore market intelligence, investigate an idea, test it against data and monitor the next change.

Explore the workflow

Investigate an idea

Turn a market hypothesis into a study with explicit inputs and a testable method.

Epoch TerminalResearch / Saved studiesSaved

ST-2024-05-15-001Sample window · to be selected

Does USD typically strengthen after upside CPI surprises?

CPI surprises and the USD response

Response: DXY
Event: US CPI
Window: 6 hours

Compare the same event window

Before releaseCPI release+1 hour+6 hours

Group observations: Above, in line with and below consensus
Measure: DXY return from the release timestamp
Inspect: Event counts, dispersion and confidence intervals

Study preview. Empirical findings will appear after the analysis is executed and validated.

Data, method and settings kept with the study.

Intelligence panelStudy

Does USD typically strengthen after upside CPI surprises?

EPOCH

I’ll compare DXY returns around upside CPI surprises, using the release-time consensus and a consistent reaction window.

We’ll look at the evidence, the reaction window and where the relationship holds.

Would you like me to create this study?

US CPI → DXY

01 / THE HYPOTHESIS

Put an idea
to the test.

Define the hypothesis, choose the inputs and test the relationship in a structured study.

Inspect the evidence

Inspect the study definitions and the evidence it will calculate.

Epoch TerminalResearch / Saved studiesSaved

ST-2024-05-15-001Sample window · to be selected

Does USD typically strengthen after upside CPI surprises?

CPI surprises and the USD response

Response: DXY
Event: US CPI
Window: 6 hours

Compare the same event window

Before releaseCPI release+1 hour+6 hours

Group observations: Above, in line with and below consensus
Measure: DXY return from the release timestamp
Inspect: Event counts, dispersion and confidence intervals

Study preview. Empirical findings will appear after the analysis is executed and validated.

Data, method and settings kept with the study.

Epoch TerminalResearch / Saved studiesSaved

ST-2024-05-15-001Sample window · to be selected

Does USD typically strengthen after upside CPI surprises?

CPI surprises and the USD response

Response: DXY
Event: US CPI
Window: 6 hours

Compare the same event window

Before releaseCPI release+1 hour+6 hours

Group observations: Above, in line with and below consensus
Measure: DXY return from the release timestamp
Inspect: Event counts, dispersion and confidence intervals

Study preview. Empirical findings will appear after the analysis is executed and validated.

Data, method and settings kept with the study.

Keep it working

Save the study. Watch for the next release. Return to the evidence.

Epoch TerminalResearch / Saved studiesSaved

ST-2024-05-15-001Sample window · to be selected

Does USD typically strengthen after upside CPI surprises?

CPI surprises and the USD response

Response: DXY
Event: US CPI
Window: 6 hours

Compare the same event window

Before releaseCPI release+1 hour+6 hours

Group observations: Above, in line with and below consensus
Measure: DXY return from the release timestamp
Inspect: Event counts, dispersion and confidence intervals

Study preview. Empirical findings will appear after the analysis is executed and validated.

Data, method and settings kept with the study.

THE SAME SAVED STUDY

CPI surprise
& USD response

Data. Method. Settings.
Ready to revisit when conditions change.

ST-2024-05-15-001

StudyMonitor

EPOCH

Watch the next release.

Notify me when another upside CPI surprise appears, with the current conditions and this saved study.

Watch: US CPI releases
Trigger: Surprise > +0.20pp
Keep linked: Study & regime context

New data. Back to the study.

The next release triggers an alert. Reopen the saved study, inspect the new context and refine your research.

Epoch TerminalResearch / Saved studiesSaved

ST-2024-05-15-001Sample window · to be selected

Does USD typically strengthen after upside CPI surprises?

CPI surprises and the USD response

Response: DXY
Event: US CPI
Window: 6 hours

Compare the same event window

Before releaseCPI release+1 hour+6 hours

Group observations: Above, in line with and below consensus
Measure: DXY return from the release timestamp
Inspect: Event counts, dispersion and confidence intervals

Study preview. Empirical findings will appear after the analysis is executed and validated.

Data, method and settings kept with the study.

NEW DATA. SAME STUDY.

The next release.
Back to the evidence.

The alert brings the new event and your existing research together.

InboxAlert preview

Threshold crossed

CPI surprised +0.34pp above consensus

US CPI Release Monitor · Example release

Actual: 3.80%
Consensus: 3.46%
Surprise: +0.34pp

WHAT HAPPENED

CPI exceeded your +0.20pp surprise threshold. The monitor triggered at release.

LINKED STUDYDoes USD typically strengthen after upside CPI surprises?ST-2024-05-15-001 · Saved method & conditions

One hypothesis, connected evidence and the next market update.

Interactive preview · Illustrative study data · No live analysis or alerts

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